Analyzed with Perplexity: What the December Speech of Our President Means for the Economy and Business in 2026–2030


1️⃣ Demography as the Top Priority
What the state is doing:
- One million rubles from the employer at the birth of a child, exempt from personal income tax and contributions.
- National project "Family," KPI for governors on birth rate and third children.
- By June 2026 — a package of demographic measures.
- Mortgages, construction, social infrastructure — with a focus on families with children.
For business: housing, medicine, EdTech, services and products for families, corporate packages for employees with children.



2️⃣ Shift from Raw Materials to High Value-Added Industries
What the state is doing:
- Plan for structural changes in the economy until 2030.
- Increasing the share of mechanical engineering, electronics, robotics, chemistry, pharmaceuticals, IT, creative industries.
- Reducing the share of oil and gas through redistribution of benefits, subsidies, and government orders.
For business: priority — technology manufacturing, R&D, new materials, pharmaceuticals, IT solutions.



3️⃣ Economic Growth Driven by Structure, Not Oil Prices
What the state is doing:
- Goal: achieve growth rates of 3–4% through structural shifts.
- Linking national projects and budget to growth targets.
- VEB.RF coordinates development institutions (RFII, Innovation Fund, etc.) in a single framework.
For business: projects with a clear impact on GDP and employment more easily obtain financing and support.



4️⃣ "Whitening" the Economy
What the state is doing:
- Plan to "whiten" the economy: control of cash, shadow employment, tax minimization schemes.
- National model of business conditions: 40+ indicators, hundreds of regulatory measures.
- Accelerated permits, infrastructure, and priority support — for those who operate transparently.
For business: motivation to leave gray schemes, implement accounting, work through digital platforms.



5️⃣ Productivity Growth and Digitalization
What the state is doing:
- Goal: +40% productivity at large and medium non-resource enterprises.
- Digital solutions and AI in schools, hospitals, MFCs, trade, housing and utilities, transport.
- Support for automation, robotics, industrial AI projects.
For business: demand for accounting systems, automation, logistics, HR-tech, industrial AI solutions.



6️⃣ AI and Technologies as a Basic Standard
What the state is doing:
- Headquarters for generative AI at the federal level.
- Eight technology national projects + "Bioeconomy" from 2026.
- Mass adoption of AI and digital platforms in governance and the real sector.
For business: priority — products in AI, biotech, new materials, industrial automation, government platforms.


7️⃣ Regional Focus
What the state is doing:
- 10 lagging regions in each area — zone of additional support.
- 18 regions on the birth rate plan, 11 on third children (Mordovia, Altai, KBR, Kherson, Zaporozhye, etc.) — sources of replicable practices.
For business: it makes sense to look at regional indicators for national projects — where there is lag or leadership, resources and pilots will go.

💎 Conclusion for Entrepreneurs
Projects that gain an advantage are those that:
- strengthen demography and quality of life for families;
- operate in non-resource technology sectors;
- increase productivity and business transparency;
- use AI and digitalization, especially in regions with targeted support.